Friday 8 February 2008

EH 483 Week 16 - Functions of Cities

Below are some key excerpts from Chapter Eight of Todaro's "Economic Development" text. Some bullet points are direct quotations from Tordo so if used, do cite accordingly.

  • Chapter is devoted to one of the most perplexing dilemmas of the development process: the phenomenon of massive and historically unprecedented movements of people from the rural countryside to the burgeoning cities of Africa, Asia and Latin America - and what is clear from all of this is that population growth will be most dramatic in the major cities of the developing world
  • Statistics show that rural migrants constitute anywhere from 35-60% of recorded urban population growth
  • According to UN estimates, world’s urban population had reached 2.4 billion by 1990 with considerable increases forthcoming – for cities in Asian nations, per annum growth is projected to be in excess of 5% and in African cities 7%
  • Cities, more generally, are known to offer the cost-reducing advantages of agglomeration economies and economies of scale and proximity as well as numerous economic and social positive externalities, social costs of a progressive overloading of housing and social services, not to mention increased crime, pollution and congestion, tend gradually to outweigh historical urban advantages
  • Author worries about how these cities will cope – economically, environmentally and politically with such large urban populations
  • Until recently, rural-urban migration was viewed favourably by economists and development proponents; internal migration was thought to be a process in which surplus labour was gradually withdrawn from the rural sector to provide needed support for urban industrial growth;Now clear from the LDC experience that rates of rural-urban migration continue to exceed rates of urban job creation and to surpass greatly the absorption capacity of both industry and urban social services
  • Begins to discuss the informal sector which is an unorganized, unregulated and mostly legal but unregistered sector in urban agglomerations; Studies reveal that the share of the urban labour force engaged in informal-sector activities ranges from 20-70% - with unprecedented growth of urban population in developing countries, more attention is being devoted to the role of the informal sector in serving as a panacea for the growing unemployment problem caused by failure of rural and urban formal sectors to absorb labour force additions
  • Develops model that aims to substitute for the inadequate Lewis two-sector model. Torod's assumptions are: that migration is stimulated by rational economic considerations of relative benefits and costs; decision to migrate depends on expected rather than actual urban-rural wage differentials; probability of obtaining an urban job is directly related to urban employment rate and thus inversely related to the urban unemployment rate
  • Author has five policy implications derived from his analysis – imbalances in urban-rural employment opportunities must be reduced; urban job creation is an insufficient solution for urban unemployment problem; Indiscriminate educational expansion will lead to further migration and unemployment; wage subsidies and traditional scarcity factor pricing can be counterproductive; and programs of integrated rural development should be encouraged
  • Concludes with summary of what appears to be a stylised consensus of most economists on the shape of migration and employment strategy, which in turn has an impact on the functions of cities. These conclusions are: Creating an appropriate rural-urban economic balance – balance between rural and urban economic opportunities appears to be indispensable to ameliorating both urban and rural unemployment problems and to slowing the pace of rural-urban migration; expansion of small-scale labour-intensive industries; elimination of factor-price distortions such as capital subsidies; choosing appropriate labour-intensive technologies of production – Third World nations as it stands today depend on imported equipment and machinery; modifying direct linkage between education and employment; Reducing population growth through reductions in absolute poverty and inequality along with expanded provision of family planning and rural health services

1 comment:

Lechuan said...

Hi, Nizu, welcome and thank you!

I wasn't able to finish my last post on Skeldon, but I do remember that he criticises Todaro's model, most probably the one of 'expected return to urbanization', because this one has many policy implications, and Skeldon remarks that although such implications are convenient, they do not actually hold water.
I will try to find what Skeldon says exactly.